New North Korean launch (Malligyong-2) upcoming [UPDATED]

click map to enlargeNavigational Warnings (HYDROPAC 1800/24) have appeared for a new North Korean satellite launch, the launch of their second military reconnaissance satellite Malligyong-2, from Sohae. North Korea also informed the Government of Japan of the upcoming launch.The three hazard areas A to C  from the Navigational Warning are the same as those for the Malligyong-1 launch half a year ago (21 November 2023 – see this earlier blogpost). Quite likely therefore, the launch will go into a similar 97.4 degree inclined, 512 x 493 km Sun-synchronous orbit. Stage 2 and stage 3 will do a double dogleg.The launch window runs to June 3.It will be interesting to see what the RAAN of the orbital plane will be in relation to that of Malligyong-1.This is the text of the Navigational Warning:261806Z MAY 24HYDROPAC 1800/24(GEN).PHILIPPINE SEA.YELLOW SEA.CHINA.DNC 11, DNC 23.1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING   IN PROGRESS UNTIL 031500Z JUN    IN AREAS BOUND BY:   A. 36-06.93N 123-33.12E, 35-24.52N 123-22.78E,      35-20.02N 123-48.62E, 36-02.43N 123-59.18E.   B. 34-05.90N 123-01.98E, 33-23.47N 122-51.88E,      33-16.53N 123-29.67E, 33-58.97N 123-40.07E.   C. 14-54.17N 128-40.10E, 11-19.30N 129-10.83E,      11-26.82N 129-54.13E, 15-01.70N 129-24.05E.2. CANCEL THIS MSG 030600Z JUN 24.UPDATE: further speculation as to what could be the launch time in a follow-up post here.UPDATE 2:  launch was near 13:50 UTC (May 27, 2024) and failed due to in-flight explosion of the first stage.UPDATE 3: The North Korean State Press Agency KCNA
calls the satellite in the failed launch “Malligyong-1-1” and indicates
first stage failure caused the mishap, related to the “reliability” of a
new LOX + petroleum engine. The wording is somewhat ambiguous on
whether it concerns a new kind of rocket or a Chollima-1 stage: they do not name the rocket type, but mention a “new-type satellite carrier rocket” . It
should be noted that during the previous Malligyong-1 launch, the
Chollima-1 first stage also blew up, somewhat after separation of the second stage (so
it did no harm to the payload at the time). Here is footage of that occasion.